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Gamblin' With Gary: 11-22-13

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If you're like me, simply watching sports isn't enough. Sure, I enjoy a good rivalry game or an exciting comeback as much as the next guy, but unless I have a little action on it, it's not the same. So I enjoy placing a few bets every weekend to make things more interesting. You may say I have a problem; I say I have a solution. These bets are 100 PERCENT GUARANTEED TO MAKE US ALL RICH, and I am willing to share them with you to prove it. Last week I did not lose, going 3-0-1 and demonstrating my sports wagering greatness. This week you can expect more of the same, as I have another four picks sure to come through. I'm putting my money where my mouth is. Feel free to join me.
Penn State Minnesota Football
CAN'T LOSE BET #1 (College Football)

Wisconsin at Minnesota (+17) - Minnesota +17

I'm not going to sugar-coat this: I hate Wisconsin. They have already burned me twice this season, as I bet against them when they played Iowa and BYU and they won and covered both games. This is it, though. The Badgers have not lost ATS all season, but Minnesota is the perfect team to put a stop to that. They are 5-1 at home with a couple high quality wins, and they play good defense. Wisconsin has not lost since September and recently demolished Indiana (pff, big deal), but there's no reason they should be favored by this much on the road against a fellow 8-2 team. Also, the public is backing Wisconsin at more than 70 percent so you know what that means -- jump all over the Golden Gophers with the points.

CAN'T LOSE BET #2 (College Football)
Texas Tech Baylor Football
Baylor at Oklahoma St. - UNDER 80

Amazingly, this is not the highest point total on the board this week. That would be the Indiana-Ohio St. game (82), but don't mess with that. Baylor scores a ton of points and OSU can light it up, too, but the thing is both of these teams can also play some defense. Baylor has given up less than 17 pts/game over the last four games, and OSU has allowed 18 pts/game over the last five. So something's gotta give, and I expect the defenses to step up and make this not quite the barnburner everyone expects. Also, the point total in the Baylor game last week was 97, so a lot of idiots are just going to assume the over is a lock this week, too. That's exactly what Vegas wants. Bet the under...hard.

CAN'T LOSE BET #3
Lions Steelers Football
Pittsburgh (+1) at Cleveland - Pittsburgh +1

This one is pretty simple. Here are two teams in the terrible AFC North, both are 4-6 but still have an outside shot at winning the division and a decent chance of nabbing the final wild card spot. One is led by 2-time Super Bowl winning quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, and the other is led by a perennial backup QB who only starts games because of injuries -- Jason Campbell. The fact that the Steelers are still getting a point in this game makes it a no-brainer. Take Pittsburgh all the way to the bank.

CAN'T LOSE BET #4 and #5

Jacksonville (+10) at Houston - Jacksonville +10 and OVER 43.5

Did I say I had four sure-fire picks for you this week? My bad, because I actually have five with this parlay bonus that is going to make you rich. Now before you call me crazy, let me give you some pertinent info. First, the Jags have won two games ATS all season -- their last two road games. I fully expect them to play hard on the road again this week and keep it close. Secondly, the Texans are just 1-4 at home this season (0-5 ATS), and look like they have completely lost their way. There's no reason they should be favored by ten points. As for the over, every single Houston home game has gone over this year, and Jags road games have seen the over go 4-1. That's a winning combo, especially when the two teams on the field probably won't care much about playing defense this week. Boom.
Jaguars Titans Football

 

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